Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.005410 0.005716 0.006032 0.006384 0.006766 0.007169 0.007627
2025-12-28 0.004908 0.005354 0.005838 0.006404 0.007052 0.007774 0.008646
2026-01-04 0.004632 0.005164 0.005760 0.006481 0.007338 0.008334 0.009593
2026-01-11 0.004357 0.004938 0.005604 0.006431 0.007446 0.008664 0.010262
2026-01-18 0.004153 0.004772 0.005497 0.006419 0.007578 0.009013 0.010962
2026-01-25 0.003958 0.004602 0.005367 0.006361 0.007641 0.009265 0.011541
2026-02-01 0.003878 0.004563 0.005392 0.006490 0.007938 0.009829 0.012570
2026-02-08 0.003738 0.004439 0.005301 0.006463 0.008024 0.010111 0.013225
2026-02-15 0.003622 0.004339 0.005234 0.006457 0.008134 0.010426 0.013942
2026-02-22 0.003480 0.004200 0.005107 0.006365 0.008116 0.010555 0.014391
2026-03-01 0.003354 0.004076 0.004994 0.006283 0.008104 0.010688 0.014848
2026-03-08 0.003268 0.003999 0.004940 0.006277 0.008197 0.010975 0.015563
2026-03-15 0.003110 0.003824 0.004749 0.006074 0.007999 0.010821 0.015566
2026-03-22 0.003045 0.003769 0.004717 0.006094 0.008124 0.011163 0.016409
2026-03-29 0.003002 0.003743 0.004723 0.006165 0.008329 0.011637 0.017516
2026-04-05 0.002922 0.003662 0.004650 0.006119 0.008352 0.011823 0.018138
2026-04-12 0.002858 0.003602 0.004603 0.006108 0.008425 0.012093 0.018929
2026-04-19 0.002784 0.003525 0.004530 0.006054 0.008430 0.012248 0.019521
2026-04-26 0.002770 0.003530 0.004573 0.006174 0.008714 0.012886 0.021097
2026-05-03 0.002711 0.003471 0.004521 0.006149 0.008760 0.013122 0.021905
2026-05-10 0.002661 0.003424 0.004484 0.006143 0.008840 0.013417 0.022864
2026-05-17 0.002590 0.003344 0.004397 0.006058 0.008780 0.013459 0.023298
2026-05-24 0.002525 0.003270 0.004319 0.005981 0.008732 0.013518 0.023774